MEXICO

What are the SGI 2011 key findings
about Mexico?

Key findings: Status
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s status performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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2011 Mexico compared to
Status Index
At rank 29, Mexico’s status performance is poorly in almost all categories (no change relative to SGI 2009).

The country faces numerous problems, the most serious being the continuing war against illegal drugs trade and related violence, stagnating oil production, and the recession. An under-sourced state apparatus lies at the root of these problems.

Macroeconomic stability is greater than that observed among some members of the euro zone. But the Mexican economy has been hit by the economic crisis in the U.S. and also by the government’s inability to advance a reform of the state-owned oil company Pemex.

Despite a widespread unwillingness to pay taxes, the population looks increasingly toward the government to address growing demands for improvements in the health care system, education and infrastructure.
Democracy
The quality of democracy in Mexico remains low (rank 29).

Mexico’s democratic institutions are weakened by socioeconomic and ethnic inequality, and by oligopolistic political clan and family structures. The war on drugs poses a serious threat to the rule of law.

Corruption in the form of outright theft from the federal government is likely on the decline. However, corruption remains widespread at state and municipal levels and within the state oil company, Pemex.
Economy/Employment
At rank 21 (+2 ranks relative to SGI 2009), economic policy is a relative bright spot for Mexico, despite considerable structural weaknesses.

Despite considerable pressure, Mexico appears to have come through the recession comparatively well from a macroeconomic perspective. Progress on structural issues is slow, but policy-makers are working to address outstanding problems including excessive oligopolization and bureaucracy.

The informal economy remains significant in the country, creating a substantial division in the labor market.

Tax income is insufficient to provide for a reasonable level of public spending. The oil revenues that masked this problem for much of the past decade are now in decline.
Social affairs
With a rank of 27 on social policy, Mexico is both making strides and showing the strains of development.

The country remains characterized by profound inequality, but policy has made inroads into the society’s most serious problems.

Health care policy has not been successful in providing broad access. Private self-financed health care is largely limited to middle- and upper-class Mexicans.

Attitudes toward family structures are in the process of changing, but upper- and middle-class women have more freedom to pursue careers than do their poorer counterparts.

A major decade-old pension reform has functioned reasonably well, although pension funds have come under pressure associated with the recession.
Security
Along with Turkey, Mexico is one of the least secure countries in the OECD, a situation due mainly to shortcomings in internal security.

Violence associated with President Calderón’s war against the drug cartels rose to unprecedented levels in recent years. Mexico is a major link in the transportation of cocaine from South America to the USA. Concerns regarding the threat of insurgency are growing.

The largest threat to external security involves potential spillover effects of Mexico’s internal problems in ways that could involve the USA. The murder of several US consular officials and their wives in March 2010 brought this issue to the forefront.
Resources
At rank 29, Mexico ranks among the OECD’s worst performers in terms of resource sustainability.

President Calderon has made protection of the environment one of his government’s priorities, and may be leading public opinion at this point. However, Mexico faces substantial environmental problems.

National spending on R&D is very low. The country’s industrial oligopolies fund their own research, while the very large number of tiny firms have little or no institutionalized access to state funding.

Education policy outcomes have improved, but from a low base. Public expenditure on education as a proportion of GDP has been on a rising trend.
Key findings: Management
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s management performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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2011 Mexico compared to
Management Index
At rank 24, Mexico’s management performance has improved somewhat in relative terms (+2 ranks relative to SGI 2009), but remains weak.

Steering capability has shown significant gains, particularly in terms of the government seeking expert advice and employing impact assessments. Thanks to President Calderón’s strong position, policies are efficiently implemented at the federal level, but sometimes frustrated by conflicting interests among municipal or state governments.

The executive branch is frequently occupied with adapting structures and institutions, but occasionally fails to take domestic realities into account.

Executive accountability toward citizens, parliament and media is weak.
Steering capability
At rank 12, Mexico’s government saw notable gains in several aspects of its steering capability.

Allowing for the vagaries of economic cycles and other unknowables, the planning process is taken seriously in Mexico. Scholarly advice can have significant influence on state policy. Under President Calderón, top officials are capable of evaluating legislative proposals.

Regulatory impact assessment was introduced in 1997 and has been quite actively applied since 2000.

Societal consultation takes place on most matters with budgetary implications. Calderón’s administration has shown a marked enhancement in the general quality and coherence of official policy communication.
Policy implementation
At position 19, Mexico’s decentralized federal system occasionally hampers smooth implementation of policy.

Many government policy objectives require cooperation from municipal and state governments that are mostly run by opposition parties, and whose own policy-making abilities varies widely.

The president has “hire and fire” rights over his cabinet, thus possessing the means of controlling line ministries. Calderón is a hands-on president who has routinely dismissed ministers if dissatisfied with their performance.

Task funding poses a theoretical problem at the state level, but earmarked oil revenues have prevented shortfalls for many years. A series of court rulings has carved out strong and well-protected powers for subnational governments.
Institutional learning
At rank 18, Mexico’s institutional learning rating has fallen somewhat (-4 ranks) as compared to the SGI 2009.

The government is mostly open to international advice. However, policymakers have occasionally attempted to introduce reforms without sufficient awareness of their internal complexities.

The country has traditionally been supportive of international initiatives, seeking to avoid the asymmetries inherent in its close relationship with the USA.

Policy-makers have frequently engaged in administrative reorganization, possibly to excess. Governing institutions are periodically reorganized in the interest of modernization or greater efficiency.
Accountability
At rank 29, Mexico’s executive accountability rating is quite low by OECD standards.

Citizens have little trust in government, and levels of education and civic awareness are comparatively low. Nevertheless, policy information is widely available. Voter turnout levels are on the rise.

A lack of expert staff reduces the parliament’s oversight effectiveness. Legislators may request government documents under the Freedom of Information Act, and congressional committees frequently summon ministers and experts.

Much broadcast and television programming is rather light. However, most news coverage is accurate and reasonably balanced.
Governments in charge
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SGI 2011 review period (May 2008 to April 2010) is outlined. Shown are: Prime minister or president, type of government, and ruling parties. Asterisks indicate national parliamentary or presidential elections.
Governments in charge

 

Contributors
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Country scores and texts were produced by the country coordinator, based on comprehensive assessments by two country experts.
 
Country coordinator
PD Dr. Martin Thunert
University of Heidelberg

Country experts
Prof. George Philip
London School of Economics and Political Science

Dr. Jörg Faust
German Development Institute, Bonn