PORTUGAL

What are the SGI 2011 key findings
about Portugal?

Key findings: Status
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s status performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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2011 Portugal compared to
Status Index
Portugal remains at rank 20 in status performance.

Traditions of democracy are well established, but political actors need to take seriously the erosion of trust in the political system. As was the case in many other OECD countries, the crisis had a severe impact on economic performance.

Socioeconomic inequality remains one of the most pressing problems. Health care and integration policy stand out as successful items in Social Affairs.

External and internal security threats are comparatively inconsequential.

Resources are not always managed with sustainability in mind. While environmental policies have improved, structural deficiencies hinder further developments in R&D and the education system.
Democracy
Portugal, a fully consolidated democracy since the mid-1980s, ranks 17th in the quality of democracy.

Portugal’s democratic institutions are generally well-developed, but lack public trust in some areas.

Elections are free and fair, and political rights are protected both on paper and in practice. There is media pluralism and freedom, and the judicial system is independent.

The judiciary is independent but lacks public trust. This is attributed to the corrosive effect of a sluggish system in which decisions can take years to reach.
Economy/Employment
With a slight drop to rank 25, Portugal’s rating on economic policy reflects substantial structural weaknesses.

After a period of strength from 1985 to the late 1990s, Portugal’s sluggish economy slipped into a “lost decade” of slow growth. The country is ranked by foreign investors as one of the least competitive countries in Europe. Policy-makers have found it difficult to meet euro zone budgetary consolidation obligations.

The government has attempted to stimulate employment by reducing or eliminating employers’ Social Security contributions. However, policies lag well behind labor market needs, and have had little impact in slowing down a galloping unemployment trend.
Social affairs
With a ranking of 24 on issues of social policy, Portugal faces serious societal challenges.

Portugal is the EU’s most unequal society, while within the OECD, only Turkey, Mexico and Chile present a higher Gini coefficient. Levels of poverty are very high and likely to worsen as long as unemployment rates continue to grow.

The population displays comparatively good levels of overall health. Although the national health care system faces challenges similar to those elsewhere in Europe, it is a relative success story. Migrants have access to health care regardless of their legal status.

Economic barriers and labor-market realities prevent many women from combining parenting successfully with employment. The country’s pension policy does not prevent poverty, and is not sustainable in its current form.
Security
Defense policy, in particualr anti-terrorism strategies and those targeting organized crime, are embedded in wider EU goals and Portugal’s active NATO involvement. At the same time, the country cultivates close bilateral relations with the USA.

Crime rates have escalated in accord with growing drug use and unemployment. Attempts to target the growing number of members of international groups involved in illegal immigration, human trafficking and robbery have landed many individuals in prison. Although ETA does not carry out attacks in Portugal, it does have a presence there.
Resources
At rank 23, Portugal’s rating on the issue of sustainable resource use has remained stable, despite across-the-board gains in individual indicators relative to the SGI 2009.

Considerable improvements were made in environmental policy. The drop in CO2 emissions is in part a reflection of the economic crisis, but also mirrors policy choices such as Prime Minister Sócrates’ decision to make renewable energies a key priority.

Sustained investment in R&D since the 1990s has consistently improved the country’s position in Europe. However, structural deficiencies remain, notably associated with a relatively weak level of private R&D expenditure and low levels of educational attainment.

Access to educational resources remains low and unequal. The government has sought since 2005 to combat this by increasing support for lifelong learning, vocational training and other adult education opportunities.
Key findings: Management
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s management performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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2011 Portugal compared to
Management Index
At position 27, management performance in Portugal ranks among the least performers in the OECD.

The government’s minority status has sharply curtailed its steering capability during the review period. Several policy objectives lain out in 2009 have yet to be implemented.

The leadership remains receptive to expert advice, but the socioeconomic impact of regulations should be more thoroughly assessed.

Whereas parliament is somewhat more efficient in exercising its oversight powers, most citizens are poorly informed and associations rarely contribute substantively to the policy process.
Steering capability
Falling slightly to rank 21, the Portuguese government’s steering capability was undermined by economic crisis and its own new minority status.

The Sócrates government has been developing programs to assess the socioeconomic impact of proposed legislation since 2006, making new strides during the review period. More work remains, however.

Since late 2009, the government’s communication policy has lost cohesion, evidently due to the stresses of its new minority status or the need to generate substantial budgetary spending cuts.
Policy implementation
At rank 18, Portugal’s marginal improvement in terms of policy implementation capacity keeps it in the OECD’s lower-middle range.

The government has not been successful in implementing much of its 2009 program, which includes goals relating to the environment, economic policy, unemployment and more.

The organization of the parliamentary/cabinet system, as well as its internal power dynamics, results in a strong level of ministerial compliance. The prime minister’s coordination and oversight power has grown in recent years.

Portugal remains one of the most centralized countries in Western Europe. Municipalities, which represent the main subnational level of government, have limited independent resources.
Institutional learning
At rank 12, the assessment of Portugal’s institutional learning capacity remains broadly similar to that of the SGI 2009.

The EU is extremely important to the country in all respects; however, the government has not yet adopted all EU laws and regulations. Its size and somewhat peripheral European position limit its impact in international reform efforts. Portugal thus seeks to cooperate with others in pursuing reform initiatives, without seeking a leading role.

The government has shown itself willing to adapt institutional arrangements from the top down. However, challenges remain in terms of improving the public administration’s staffing quality. Reforms have done little to improve strategic capacity.
Accountability
At rank 27, Portugal’s executive accountabilty rating has declined somewhat (-2 ranks) relative to the SGI 2009.

Policy knowledge is very unevenly distributed through the population, with few relatively well-informed citizens coexisting with a large number possessing only rudimentary policy knowledge.

The structure of parliamentary committees has been made more efficient, but governments occasionally deliver requested documents in an untimely or incomplete manner

Media analysis of government decisions is relatively superficial. In-depth journalistic work on policy issues is almost nonexistent.

The impact of party programs is limited, and associations often lack the sophistication to deliver well-developed policy proposals.
Governments in charge
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SGI 2011 review period (May 2008 to April 2010) is outlined. Shown are: Prime minister or president, type of government, and ruling parties. Asterisks indicate national parliamentary or presidential elections.
Governments in charge

 

Contributors
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Country scores and texts were produced by the country coordinator, based on comprehensive assessments by two country experts.
 
Country coordinator
Prof. Cesar Colino
Spanish Distance-Learning University, Madrid

Country experts
Prof. Thomas C. Bruneau
Stanford University

Prof. Carlos Jalali
Universidade de Aveiro