TURKEY

What are the SGI 2011 key findings
about Turkey?

Key findings: Status
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s status performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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2011 Turkey compared to
Status Index
Turkey shows improvements in several areas but still ranks at the very bottom of the Status Index.

The country continues to trail far behind the average attainment levels for the OECD in terms of the quality of democracy, social policies and security issues. Though its financial sector was spared the brunt of global crisis, exports have declined amid the global downturn.

Yet several improvements have been achieved, particularly with regard to improving the sustainability of public budgets and creating a more equitable pension system.
Democracy
The quality of democracy Turkey ranks at the bottom of the OECD.

The 2007 parliamentary elections resulted in greater pluralism in representation. However, campaign finance is not regulated by law, and bans placed on political parties undermine democratic political party life. Access to media is not equal for all parties and politicians.

Problems faced by ethnic, religious and linguistic minorities are serious concerns in Turkey. Partisan judicial appointments and an inefficient judical process hamper the delivery of justice.
Economy/Employment
Despite improvements on some individual measures, Turkey’s remains very close to the OECD’s bottom in terms of economic policy, at rank 29.

The global financial crisis had little effect on Turkey’s national banking system. However, the slowdown in Europe led to contraction in the automotive and textile industries, the two leading export sectors.

Labor market participation increased from 2008 to 2009, in part because the crisis diminished family incomes, driving persons previously out of the labor force to hunt for jobs.

Turkey collects only 25% of its income through taxes, but since 2006 the scope of the central government budget has expanded considerably. The government has raised social security spending, taking serious steps in the direction of enhancing social equality as well as sustainability.
Social affairs
At rank 31, Turkey continues to receive social policy ratings that are among the OECD’s lowest.

Health care policy still results in significant gaps in coverage. In order to reduce a shortage of health personnel, the capacity of medical and nursing schools has been increased.

Little has been done to combat poverty effectively. More than 20% of the population still lives under the poverty line.

The current social insurance programs, which covered 80.2% of population in 2008, show a significant fiscal deficit.

The country lacks a developed integration policy, despite rising labor-driven migration and settlement from the Caucasus, the Balkans and even the EU.
Security
A critical, and often tense, geopolitical crossroads, Turkey has long seen the military play an influential role in society. The parameters of defense policy and the military’s role are still being defined.

Although NATO membership is not openly questioned by military leaders, some elements oppose EU membership and favor a closer relationship with Russia and China instead.

Despite military successes against the PKK, problems related to Kurdish guerrillas remain unresolved.
Resources
At rank 30, Turkey’s record of sustainable resource use is markedly poor by OECD comparison.

Industrialization and unplanned urbanization combined with high birth rates have led to significant environmental issues. The country is vulnerable to the consequences of climate change, particularly drought and desertification. Water resources and forests are deteriorating rapidly.

The government has spent between 0.7% and 0.8% of GDP for R&D, a comparatively low sum. The main objectives of science and technology policy are to increase the innovation capacity of the private sector, to develop domestic skills and to transform these skills into a social benefits.

The educational system contains significant inequities, and does not provide enough skilled labor for the labor market’s needs.
Key findings: Management
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Blue line represents 20111 country’s management performance on a scale from 1 (lowest) to 10 (best). Grey line represents SGI 2009 performance. Use the pop-up menue for comparisons with other countries.
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2011 Turkey compared to
Management Index
At rank 19, management performance in Turkey has shown significant improvements in relative comparison.

Steering capability remains somewhat deficient, even though the introduction of regulatory impact assessment in 2007 suggests a positive shift. The military and judiciary serve as constraints to policy implementation more so than opposition parties and public opinion.

Significant gains have been achieved in terms of institutional learning. In addition, Turkey, as a UN Security Council member, has assumed greater responsibility in international affairs. Self-monitoring has been enhanced as well.

Although the level of executive accountability achieves middling scores in some measures, the public remains poorly informed of policy substance and the government does not always deliver reliable information to the legislature.
Steering capability
At rank 19, Turkey’s rating reflects notable relative gains in several aspects of governmental steering capability.

A push to implement strategic planning across all public institutions has made some strides, but significant work remains to be done to make the practice effective. The prime minister ensures cooperation among the ministries.

Since 2007, regulatory impact assessment has been required for most legislation having a significant financial impact. However, these assessments are not systematically applied.

The incumbent government promised it would regularly consult with civil society, but has largely failed to fulfill this promising objective.
Policy implementation
At rank 21, Turkey’s appreciable policy implementation improvement relative to the SGI 2009 (+5 ranks) keeps it in the OECD’s lower-middle range.

The most significant obstacles to government policy implementation are the military and the high judiciary, rather than opposition parties or public opinion. However, the government was by and large successful in pursuing its policy in the fields of economics, social security, taxes and foreign affairs.

The AKP government has made it more difficult for ministers to follow self-interested agendas.

Local administrative bodies, mainly municipal governments, do not have sufficient financial resources to finance the tasks assigned to them by law.
Institutional learning
At rank 12, Turkey’s institutional learning capacity has shown significant improvement (+13 ranks) relative to the SGI 2009.

Almost all public entities have a unit for EU affairs, and strategic planning units are included in all ministries. Transparency and accountability are part of the administrative culture, at least conceptually. The country has also shown more international responsibility, especially in its role as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council from 2009 to 2010.

The quality of self-monitoring has risen somewhat. During the period under review, the monitoring activities of the State Supervisory Council were for the first time focused on the suitability and efficiency of institutions, rather than triggered primarily by suspicions of irregularities.
Accountability
At rank 22, Turkey’s executive accountability rating reflects both strengths and weaknesses.

High voter turnout suggests a broad popular interest in politics, but in general, the government does not do a good job in informing citizens about the content and development of its policies.

The structure of parliamentary committees is efficient, but little expert research capability is available. Lawmakers find it very difficult to obtain reliable information from the government on sensitive issues.

Newspaper quality and circulation is quite low, and very few radio or TV programs offer in-depth analysis of government policies or their effects.
Governments in charge
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SGI 2011 review period (May 2008 to April 2010) is outlined. Shown are: Prime minister or president, type of government, and ruling parties. Asterisks indicate national parliamentary or presidential elections.
Governments in charge

 

Contributors
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Country scores and texts were produced by the country coordinator, based on comprehensive assessments by two country experts.
 
Country coordinator
Prof. Cesar Colino
Spanish Distance-Learning University, Madrid

Country experts
Dr. Günter Seufert
Cighangir-Istanbul

Prof. Subidey Togan
Bilkent University, Ankara